Tony Finau, Justin Rose among 5 outright bets


Click the arrow to expand Charles Schwab Challenge 2022 odds via BetMGM

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds

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JustinThomas +1100
Scottie Scheffler +1200
Jordan Spieth +1400
Collin Morikawa +1800
Victor Howland +2000
Will Zalatoris +2000
Sam Burns +2500
Max Homa +2800
Abraham Ancer +3300
Daniel Berger +3300
Jason Kokrak +3300
Sunjae Im +3300
Tony Finau +3300
Chris Kirk +4000
Davis Riley +4000
JustinRose +4000
Mito Pereira +4000
Talor Gooch +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Webb Simpson +4000
Billy Horschel +5000
Brian Harman +5000
Gary Woodland +5000
Harold Varner III +5000
Kevin Well +5000
Sebastian Munoz +5000
CT pan +6600
Maverick McNealy +6600
Patrick Reed +6600
Ryan Palmer +6600
Tom Höge +6600
Adam Lang +8000
Bryson DeChambeau +8000
Cameron Tringale +8000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +8000
KH Lee +8000
Ricky Fowler +8000
Troy Merritt +8000
David Lipsky +8000
Doug Ghim +8000
Alex Kleiney +10000
Cam Davis +10000
Eric van Rooyen +10000
JJ Spaun +10000
JT Poston +10000
Joel Dahmen +10000
Kevin Kisner +10000
Luke Glover +10000
Luke Herbert +10000
Matthew NeSmith +10000
Patton Kizzire +10000
Russel Knox +10000
Stewart Cink +10000
Aaron Rai +12500
Brendon Todd +12500
Denny McCarthy +12500
Emiliano Grillo +12500
Ian Poulter +12500
Jacob Hahn +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
NateLashley +12500
Patrick Rodgers +12500
Austin Smotherman +15000
Brandon Wu +15000
Carlos Ortiz +15000
Dylan Frittelli +15000
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Mark Hubbard +15000
Min Woo Lee +15000
Pat Perez +15000
Peter Malnat +15000
Rory Sabbatini +15000
Scott Stallings +15000
Stephen Jaeger +15000
Taylor Moore +15000
Vince Walley +15000
Greyson Sigg +15000
Chad Ramey +20000
Chez Reavie +20000
Matthew Jones +20000
Matthias Schwab +20000
Nick Taylor +20000
Sahith Teagala +20000
Wyndham Clark +20000
Adam Schenk +25000
Beau Hossler +25000
Danny Lee +25000
Michael Thomas +25000
Richard Bland +25000
Robert Streb +25000
Trey Mullinax +25000
Tyler Duncan +25000
Zach Johnson +25000
Adam Swenson +30000
Andrew Putnam +30000
Brandt Snedeker +30000
Charley Hoffman +30000
Doc Redman +30000
Harry Higgs +30000
Kramer Hickok +30000
Lee Hodges +30000
Luke Donald +30000
Paul Barjon +30000
Sam Ryder +30000
Brian Stuard +35000
Garrick Higgo +35000
Kevin Way +35000
Bill Hass +50000
Camilo Villegas +50000
Hayden Buckley +50000
John Pak +50000
Martin Coach +50000
Nick Watney +50000
Ryan Brehm +50000
Max McGreevy +50000
Eric Compton +50000
James Pitt +50000
T Strafaci +50000
Martin Coach +50000
Ty Strafaci +50000

Another major is in the books, and this time it was another Matt Fitzpatrick experience where he was in the picture but never really felt like he would play a role in the outcome.

Instead it looked like a battle between the kids of the Korn Ferry Tour, but much like what happened on that tour, chaos erupted on the final few holes. Justin Thomas took advantage of his competition’s inexperience to win a second Major.

Now we move from Southern Hills to another Perry Maxwell design at Colonial for the Charles Schwab Challenge.

Usually the week after a grueling major is a chance to fade away the top names struggling through a four-day slog; However, there is a good chance that the form will be carried over to a course by the same designer.

Of course

Colonial has hosted the event since 1946. It is a par 70 approximately 7,200 yards long. When the wind picks up it can be quite difficult to play. If it’s calm, we’ll likely see a winner near 20 under par.

This has never really been a bomber course. Jason Kokrak competes as the defending champion. Daniel Berger, Kevin Na, Kevin Kisner and Jordan Spieth also have victories in their vita.

Colonial is typically more of a precision course where guys can find the fairway and put their irons and short game to work.

The favourites

Thomas and Scottie Scheffler open up between +1000 and +1200 depending on where you look.

Of the two, Thomas would probably be better suited to play well given his lead in irons, but it would come down to how badly he suffers from the PGA championship.

Last week Scheffler was bad on the ball and had bad luck with the weather. But the irons were in good shape. In two starts, however, he did not finish better than 55th place.

Spieth is next in line at around +1400 and he should probably be the favorite given his track record here – he has one win and three second places. Combine that with his recent form – he won at Harbor Town and finished second in the Byron Nelson – and he’s the most likely threat at the top of the board to actually win this week.

Collin Morikawa is right behind Spieth at +1600. He fits in well here too and lost in a playoff two years ago. He was another weather accident victim last week who made the cut but never actually dug out of his hole.

He’s been pretty off the mark with his short game lately and while solid on the ball, his shots on the ball haven’t been able to overcome that weakness in recent weeks.

Viktor Hovland, Will Zalatoris and Max Homa make up the +2000 line.

Zulatoris will be popular at the PGA after finishing second behind Thomas.

Homa had a good run but didn’t do too well here, missing cuts two out of three starts.

Hovland doesn’t seem like the best choice for this course, having a history of negating the importance of distance and adding an extra emphasis to climbing with its small greens.

The middle school

We start here with Tony Finau under +4100 at FanDuel. Finau hasn’t been his usual consistent self this season, but overall there have been signs of improvement.

Finau took a beating across the board at the PGA last week. It was the first time he has done so since winning at the Northern Trust last year. He also showed insights into hitting elite balls. A few weeks ago at Wells Fargo he won six shots off the tee and in Mexico he won eight shots off his irons en route to second place.

This was also a point where Finau played well. He finished second to Kevin Na in 2019 and has made the cut in all six starts without a finish worse than 34th.

I come back Davis Riley again at +5000 at DraftKings. He’ll likely be popular again this week after scoring 11 shots by ball hit in his PGA Championship debut (13th).

Even in his rookie year, the Texas tracks have done him good so far. He’s secured tour status for next season with a streak of four straight top-15 finishes he’ll do with runner-up Valspar earlier this year.

Now all he has to do is win. I usually bet on him most weeks anyway and won’t stop now that he’s in this form.

We’re going too Sebastian Munoz at +6000. Munoz was third here a year ago and third at the Byron Nelson two weeks ago. He can play well here and has played well lately. He’s made the cut at every start for four months, most recently missing one at the AmEx in late January.

Munoz has also won shots on approach in seven of his last eight events. His putter can get hot and cold, but before the PGA Championship, he seemed to have it all on the greens

I will go too JustinRose here at +6500. A former champion here in 2018, Rose has been in the top 20 in three of his four starts. He’s also had a good week in the PGA, where he finished 13th and won five shots with the irons.

This is a course that historically has catered more to veterans. So if he can wear that form from last week in Colonial, he could be back here.

The long shots

This wasn’t really a place for unknown winners. Usually it was middle-class veterans or (then) established stars who took home the title.

My only playdown from this area will be Luke Glover at 160-1 on FanDuel. Glover had a great week on the irons at Southern Hills, gaining nearly eight shots to finish 23rd.

He has also finished in the top 25 on his last two starts here, including 8th last year. He’s gained close to 10 shots combined during those tournaments, so it’s a course that suits his eyes with the irons over the past few years.

The Colonial Map

  • Tony Finau +4100 (0.82 units)
  • Davis Riley +5000 (0.66 units)
  • Sebastian Munoz +6000 (0.55 units)
  • Justin Rose +6500 (0.5 units)
  • Lucas Glover +16000 (0.21 units)

Total bet: 2.74 units

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