Warriors vs. Mavericks Game 4 Prop Bets for Western Conference Finals


Warriors vs Mavericks Game 4 Player Props: Finding Value with Desperate Dallas

With the Dallas Mavericks on the brink, we can tap into their reserves to find value in tonight’s player prop market. We’re particularly optimistic that Jalen Brunson will eclipse his overall score after taking his shooting back in Game 3.

The Dallas Mavericks are suddenly on the brink of elimination in the Western Conference Finals after falling 3-0 in Game 4 against the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday.

We’re going over the page and diving into this high pressure showdown in Dallas giving our best free NBA player prop picks for game 4 betweenWarriors and Mavericks on May 24th.

Click on each selection to jump to the full analysis. Every Quota widget below represents that best available odds for every betting market from regulated US sports bookmakers.

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Warriors vs Mavericks game 4 props

When the Mavs go down, they go down swinging… the ball to the open man on the outside for a barrage of 3-point balls.

Dallas’ trigger-happy triple approach is catching up to him and making just 13 of 45 shots from long range in Game 3 at home and losing at home, but I don’t see head coach Jason Kidd suddenly putting a cork in his team’s long range. range shooting. The Mavs are what they are.

With guys like Davis Bertans, Reggie Bullock and Maxi Kleber struggling from across the arc, Reserve Guard Spencer Dinwiddie could see his number being called up more often in Game 4.

Dinwiddie scored 26 points off the bench and was 4-for-10 from 3-point land in 32 minutes of action in Game 3 and recorded his most ground time since Round 1. He wasn’t overly sharp from the periphery in the series , but the Mavs will need Dinwiddie to hit some swing-changing threes in Game 4.

He’s knocked down three or more 3-pointers in two of the three games in this series and in four of his last five games back into the conference semifinals. That over pays plus money and Dinwiddie will have more than a few chances to top that prop in Game 4.

SELECT: Spencer Dinwiddie over 2.5 scored 3 points (+160 at Caesars)

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While most Mavericks ride or die beyond the bow, Jalen Brunson is the only constant threat to the warrior’s interior. The burly point guard is averaging 21.7 points in the Conference Finals, including a big 31-point performance in Game 2.

Brunson has the hot hand in Game 4, shooting 18-31 collectively in the last two contests, including a much-improved 8-13 from beyond the arc on those outings.

However, Brunson doesn’t rely on threes to earn points like his teammates, as his first move always goes towards the edge. He ranks eighth in points among all postseason players and fires more than 40% of shots within eight yards of the basket.

The Warriors are without versatile 6-foot-8 defenseman Otto Porter Jr. in Game 4 and will run much smaller off the bench with minimal rim protection outside of Kevin Looney. For all their long-range ups and downs, the Mavericks are still shooting 52.5% on 2-point field goals for the series.

Brunson finished Game 3 with 20 points but shot the ball just 12 times, making it his lowest overall attempt of the postseason. He’s averaging more than 18 shots per game overall in the playoffs and will be crucial for Dallas to avoid elimination, especially if the Mavs can’t come up with attempts from beyond the arc.

SELECT: Jalen Brunson Over 20.5 points (+100 at DraftKings)

Draymond Green is a glue guy for Golden State and will do whatever the team needs to get the job done. So far, Draymond’s role in the Western finals has been mostly agitator and hype-man, as his stats have dropped compared to the last two series.

Green averaged 9.6 points, 7.4 assists, and 5.4 rebounds in Round 1 against Denver and 6.3 points, 6.0 assists, and 8.7 rebounds in Round 2 against Memphis. In three games against the Mavericks, he has 8.7 points and 4.3 assists and 6.7 rebounds.

He’s given out three, five, and five total assists so far, and his total assists for Game 4 is 6.5 with the Under having a loaded -160 in some books. His work on the glass produced nine rebounds in Game 1, but he’s only grabbed six and five boards respectively in the last two games and parked his rebound over/under at 7.5 (under -130).

A parlay of green under 6.5 assists and under 7.5 rebounds in the same game pays out around +170, which is tempting. But with his under 13.5 assists + rebounds at odds of -111, you can have a bigger margin of error in either market. Draymond was still able to grab eight boards but gave away five assists and stayed under that number.

As previously mentioned, Green was the Warriors’ main opponent, recording a total of 14 fouls in three games, including some techs. He always dances with the refs on the sidelines and with Dallas desperately fighting for his life, emotions will run high in Game 4. We’ve looked at putting overs on Draymond props before, with the fiery dot forward getting the hook from officials.

SELECT: Draymond Green Under 13.5 Assists + Rebounds (-111 on FanDuel)

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