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PLEASE NOTE: This forecast, compiled by The Hollywood ReporterAwards Columnist Scott Feinbergreflects his best attempt to predict the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences, Not his personal preferences. He arrives at this score by drawing on consultations with voters and strategists, analysis of marketing and campaigns, pre-Emmy award results, and the history of the Emmys themselves. There will be regular updates to reflect new developments.
*BEST DRAMA SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Better call Saul (AMC)
ozark (netflix)
severance pay (Apple)
Squid Game (netflix)
stranger things (netflix)
successor (HBO)
This is us (ABC)
yellowstone (parent)
Switch
euphoria (HBO)
Possible surprise
Yellow jackets (Show time)
Should have been a contender
winning time (HBO)
*BEST COMEDY SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Abbott Elementary School (ABC)
Atlanta (FX)
barry (HBO)
Chop (HBO Max)
The wonderful Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
Only murders in the building (hulu)
Teddy Lasso (Apple)
What we do in the shadows (FX)
Switch
Russian doll (netflix)
Possible surprise
Black (ABC)
Should have been a contender
Reservation dogs (FX)
*BEST LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Intoxicated (hulu)
The Dropout (hulu)
maid (netflix)
The stairs (HBO Max)
The White Lotus (HBO)
Switch
invent Anna (netflix)
Possible surprise
Under the banner of heaven (FX on Hulu)
Should have been a contender
1883 (excellent+)
*BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Jason Bateman (ozark) – podcast
Sterling K. Brown (This is us) – podcast
Brian Cox (successor) – podcast
Lee Jung-jae (Squid Game) – podcast
Adam Scott (severance pay)
Jeremy Stark (successor) – podcast
Switch
Bob Odenkirk (Better call Saul) – podcast
Possible surprise
Kevin Costner (yellowstone)
Should have been a contender
Jamie Dornan (The tourist)
*BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Juliet Lewis (Yellow jackets)
Laura Linney (ozark)
Melanie Lynskey (Yellow jackets)
Mandy Moore (This is us) – podcast
Kelly Reilly (yellowstone)
Zendaya (euphoria) – podcast
Switch
Britt Lower (severance pay)
Possible surprise
Yellow Cypress (Yellow jackets)
Should have been a contender
Katja Herbers (diabolical)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Jonathan Banks (Better call Saul)
Nicholas Brown (successor)
Kieran Culkin (successor)
Matthew Macfadyen (successor)
Alan Ruck (successor)
John Turturro (severance pay) – podcast
Christopher Walken (severance pay)
Oh Young-soo (Squid Game)
Switch
Park Hae-soo (Squid Game) – podcast
Possible surprise
David Harbor (stranger things)
Should have been one candidate
Cole Hauser (yellowstone)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Patricia Arquette (severance pay)
Millie Bobby Brown (stranger things)
Julia Garner (ozark) – podcast
Jung Ho-yeon (Squid Game) – podcast
Christina Ricci (Yellow jackets)
Sadie Sinkstranger things)
J Cameron Smith (successor)
Sarah Snook (successor)
Switch
Rhea Seehorn (Better call Saul) – podcast
Possible surprise
Winona Ryder (stranger things)
Should have been a contender
Maude Apatow (euphoria)
*BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Anthony Anderson (Black)
Donald Glover (Atlanta)
Bill Hader (barry)
Steve Martin (Only murders in the building)
Martin Kurz (Only murders in the building)
Jason Sudeikis (Teddy Lasso)
Switch
Nicholas Hoult (The great)
Possible surprise
Ricky Gervais (After the live) – podcast
Should have been a contender
Sam Richardson (The after party)
*BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Rachel Brosnahan (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel) – podcast
Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary School)
Kaley Cuoco (The flight attendant)
Issa Rae (Unsure)
Tracee Ellis Ross (Black) – podcast
Jean Smart (Chop)
Switch
Natasha Lyonne (Russian doll)
Possible surprise
Selena Gomez (Only murders in the building) – podcast
Should have been a contender
Elle Fanning (The great) – podcast
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Anthony Carrigan (barry)
Carl Clemons Hopkins (Chop)
Brett Goldstein (Teddy Lasso)
Luke Kirby (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel)
Tony Shalhoub (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel) – podcast
Kenan Thompson (Saturday night live) – podcast
Heinrich Winkler (barry) – podcast
Bowen Yang (Saturday night live)
Switch
Nick Mohammed (Teddy Lasso)
Possible surprise
Brendan Hunt (Teddy Lasso)
Should have been a contender
Brian Tyree Henry (Atlanta)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Alex Borstein (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel) – podcast
Hannah Einbinder (Chop)
Sarah Goldberg (barry)
Kate McKinnon (Saturday night live)
Yvonne Orji (Unsure)
Meg Stalter (Chop)
Juno Temple (Teddy Lasso)
Hannah Waddingham (Teddy Lasso)
Switch
Cecilia Strong (Saturday night live)
Possible surprise
Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary School)
Should have been a contender
Stephanie Hsu (The wonderful Mrs. Maisel)
*BEST ACTOR IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Colin Firth (The stairs)
Andrew Garfield (Under the banner of heaven) – podcast
Oscar Isaac (Scenes from a Marriage) – podcast
Michael Keaton (Intoxicated) – podcast
Jared Leto (We crashed) – podcast
Sebastian Stan (pam and tommy)
Switch
Sam Eliot (1883) – podcast
Possible surprise
Ben Foster (The survivor)
Should have been a contender
Jon Bernthal (We own this city)
*BEST ACTRESS IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Jessica Chastain (Scenes from a Marriage) – podcast
Julia Garner (invent Anna) – podcast
Lily James (pam and tommy) – podcast
Margaret Qualley (maid) – podcast
Julia Roberts (gas lit) – podcast
Amanda Seyfried (The Dropout) – podcast
Switch
Tony Collette (The stairs)
Possible surprise
Anne Hathaway (We crashed)
Should have been a contender
Isabel May (1883) – podcast
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Naveen Andrews (The Dropout)
Murray Bartlett (The White Lotus)
Jake Lacy (The White Lotus)
Will Poulter (Intoxicated)
Peter Sarsgard (Intoxicated)
Michael Stuhlbarg (Intoxicated)
Switch
Steve Tooth (The White Lotus)
Possible surprise
Matthew Goode (The offer)
Should have been a contender
Colton Ryan (The girl from Plainville)
*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR TV MOVIE*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Connie Britton (The White Lotus)
Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus)
Alexandra Daddario (The White Lotus)
Kaitlyn Dever (Intoxicated) – podcast
Andie MacDowell (maid)
Natasha Rothwell (The White Lotus)
Switch
Daisy Edgar Jones (Under the banner of heaven)
Possible surprise
faith hill (1883)
Should have been a contender
Dominique Fishback (The Last Days of Ptolemy Gray)
*BEST DOCUMENTARY OR NON-FICTIONAL SERIES*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
Andy Warhol’s Diaries (netflix)
The Beatles: Come back (Disney+)
jeen-yuhs (netflix)
The New York Times presents: Control of Britney Spears (FX)
We need to talk about Cosby (Show time)
Switch
Jukebox (HBO) – Podcast (Bill Simmons)
Possible surprise
Catch and Kill: The Podcast Tapes (HBO) – Podcast (Ronan Farrow)
Should have been a contender
McCartney 3, 2, 1 (hulu)
*BEST DOCUMENTARY OR NON-FICTIONAL SPECIAL*
Proposed nominees (alphabetical)
demise (netflix)
George Carlin’s American Dream (HBO) — Podcast (Judd Apatow)
Lucie and Desi (Amazon)
The Tinder scammer (netflix)
We feed people (Nat Geo) — Podcast (José Andrés)
Switch
Uncertain: the end (HBO)
Possible surprise
Sheryl (Show time)
Should have been a contender
A man named Scott (Amazon)