Expert tips and betting tips for the US Open 2022


Expert tips and betting tips for the US Open 2022

The 2022 US Open Championship returns to Brookline Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts for the first time since 1988, with a loaded field of 156 golfers vying for the top 60 spots to advance. 2011 US Open champion Rory McIlroy heads into the weekend as a favorite after winning the RBC Canadian Open last weekend. McIlroy faces a tough field including defending champion Jon Rahm, PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas and Masters winner Scottie Scheffler.

Where is the betting value? Will the favorites prevail? Our golf and betting experts split the field for the third major of the year.

Jump to a section:
Expert Tips on Winning | Bet Value Picks to Win | Notable Golfer Odds | props and more

expert selection

Matt Barrie, ESPN
Rory McIlroy

Charlotte Gibson,
Winner: Will Zalatoris

Andy North, ESPN
Winner: JustinThomas

Mark Schlabach,
Shane Lowry

Marty Smith, ESPN
Tony Finau

Curtis Strange, ESPN

Wright Thompson,

Paolo Uggetti,
Rory McIlroy

Tom Van Haaren,
Rory McIlroy

Scott Van Pelt, ESPN
Will Zalatoris

Kevin Van Valkenburg,
Will Zalatoris

Josh Weinfuss,
Scottie Scheffler

Betting value picks to win

Our betting experts give you tips on how to win based on value. We look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance of redeeming your ticket.

Michael Collins, ESPN Senior Golf Analyst
Winner: Sam Burns (25-1)

Why he will win: Burns has three wins so far this season and is hot for his last three starts. At 25-1, he has a lot of value in a stacked field.

Anita Marks, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner: Sungjae Im (40-1)

Why he will win: I play well on the big stage (T-2 and T-8 in the Masters, T-17 in the PGA Championship). He checks many of the boxes when looking at the metrics required for a win at Brookline and ranks 29th this season in driving accuracy, seventh in greens on average and third in scrambling .

David Bearman, Assistant Sportsbook Editor,
Winner: Justin Thomas (11-1)

Why he will win: Thomas put on another incredible performance last week in Canada with a 63-64 weekend to almost chase Rory McIlroy. He is 3rd on the tee to green tour and total strokes won, 6th on the approach and 14th off the tee. Arguably the hottest golfer on tour right now, Thomas finally weathered the ‘second big’ drought last month. No. 3 should be in sight this weekend.

Chris Fallica, ESPN Betting Analyst
Dustin Johnson (40-1)

Why he will win: A former US Open champion, Johnson has had five top six finishes in seven years. This course requires long, precise play from the tee and is just right for DJs. He hasn’t had his best years, but at this price he’s absolutely worth playing.

Tyler Fulghum, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner: Xander Shovel (22-1)

Why he will win: Schauffele has never won a major but has always been at the US Open. He has played the event five times in his career and has a T-5, T-6, T-3, 5 and T-7. Schauffele always seems to play best when the conditions are most treacherous and the field is deepest. It’s time for the X-Man to break through with his first major victory.

Joe Fortenbaugh, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner: Shane Lowry (35-1)

Why he will win: Lowry has just produced a T-10 in Canada to match his T-3 finishes at the Masters and RBC Heritage and his absolute second place finish at the Honda Classic. He currently ranks ninth in shots won on the Tour: Approach the green integrated with stamp greens on a course like Brookline.

Odds of winning the US Open 2022

props and more

Our betting experts have more than just bets to win. From top 10s to made cuts to tournament matchups, here are some props to target for the entire event.

Dustin Johnson Top 10 Placement (+400)
bear man: This pick isn’t about the LIV Tour, it’s about achieving a 4-1 top 10 for a former world No. 1 player who has a strong resume of playing well on Northeast courts. He has six top-10 finishes at the US Open, including a win in 2016. He hasn’t been great at all this year, but bringing his A-game and golf with a chip on his shoulder could make money too the 40-1 payout to win.

Collin Morikawa Top 10 Placement (+175)
bear man: I will play against Morikawa to win and finish in the top 10 as he is arguably the best ball forward on the tour and this course requires that type of play. His struggle has always been the putter, but Morikawa figured it out at the previous two majors. This course is tailor-made for a player fifth on the approach and 20th on the tee, and a third leg of the Grand Slam is not out of the question.

Bryson DeChambeau Top 5 Placement (+800)
Collin: DeChambeau is healthy and surprisingly under the radar this week. This is a literal “bang for the buck” bet. He will try to do what he did at Winged Foot to win this US Open.

Playoff to determine the winner (+310)
Collin: Media hates to hear the word playoff in golf, but this week has all the potential for a three- to four-man playoff. A lot of guys look like their games are about to peak.

Xander Schauffele Top 10 Placement (+225)
Fallika: Although Schauffele is yet to claim a major championship win, he has excelled on US Open courses. He has achieved five top 10 finishes, including three top fives, in each of his five appearances. Schauffele ranks seventh in strokes won: tee-to-green and ninth in strokes won: total. That well-rounded game should deliver another strong weekend at the US Open.

Viktor Hovland misses the cut (+225)
Hovland has not finished in the top 20 at a stroke play event since March and has never finished in the top 10 at a Major. He’s terrible around the green too – 204th in shots won around the green – and given the small size of those greens, that could spell trouble for him this weekend.

Max Homa’s top 20 ranking (+160)
Tags: Homa’s first two Tour wins were both on major championship courses. He T5 at Memorial – where he only putt 99 this week, and T-13 at last month’s PGA Championships.

Adri Arnau’s top 40 finish (2-1)
Arnaus has the distance to compete this week. He has dominated the DP World Tour, finished T-30 at the PGA Championship and is the second best player from Spain after Jon Rahm.

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