Click the arrow to expand RBC Canadian Open 2022 Odds via BetMGM
2022 RBC Canadian Open Odds
|Harold Varner III||+3300|
|Rafa Cabrera Bello||+30000|
|Bo Van Pelt||+50000|
|David van der Walt||+50000|
|Seung Yul Noh||+50000|
|Jared du Toit||+75000|
|Richard S Johnson||+100000|
For the first time in three years, the PGA TOUR is taking place north of the border.
Five of the top 10 players in the world are at the RBC Canadian Open in Ontario, including defending champion (since 2019) Rory McIlroy. The first two big winners of 2022 are at the top of the odds board, with Scottie Scheffler slightly favored over Justin Thomas.
St. George’s Golf & Country Club is a short distance, but it looks like it will put players to the test ahead of the US Open. Expect the roughs to be disadvantageous and the greens to be fast.
Our staff at GolfBet writers scoured the odds board this week, which seems a bit top-heavy without much depth.
They’ve identified their favorite bets for the week. Check them out below.
Brendon Todd – Top 10 (+700)
Jason Sobel: Todd is like Halley’s Comet on the PGA TOUR, which isn’t to say he only comes around every 76 years. However, when he does show up, you don’t want to miss it.
Back in late 2019, he became the best player in the world for a month with two wins and a fourth-place finish, rising from outside the top-500 to 72nd before Thanksgiving dinner was served. He hasn’t had a single top five finish since then…until two weeks ago, when he emerged third in Charles Schwab’s leaderboard.
There aren’t too many options these days to focus on as a short course specialist, but Todd fits the role perfectly, finishing 201st in driving distance and fifth in driving accuracy this season.
Sam Burns — Top 5 (+450)
Chris Murphy: I’m rambling off here as I don’t quite know where I want to top the bullet this week. I have a lot more interest in winning one or two of the top names than in darting at the end of that field, which is falling in a hurry.
Sam Burns is one of the top three or four I’d like to consider for an overall win, but with his odds in the teens I probably won’t get there. I found decent value in this top 5 ranking on FanDuel.
Burns has shown he has the advantage with his three wins this season and three other top 10 finishes. He did some of that damage during the fall swing, and if you take out some of the elites at the top of that field, it’s not that different from what we see in the fall.
We tend to discount players after a win, although they were clearly in great form to get that win and he has had a top 14 finish in two of his three wins on the TOUR, including a second place finish.
As strange as it sounds, I think Burns would be more popular this week if he didn’t win at the Charles Schwab. The course seems just right for him, where his problems off the tee are alleviated and he can capitalize on his strong approach and putting game.
Matt Fitzpatrick +2000
Matt Vincenzi: Last week, Matt Fitzpatrick missed the number cut at the Memorial. Some people may see the dreaded “MC” when reviewing its current form and be put off, but not all missed cuts can be treated equally.
In Fitzpatrick’s case, it was an extreme putting anomaly that accounted for his unusually short week. The Englishman lost a whopping 7.6 strokes in two rounds of putting, making it the worst putting performance of his career (in just two rounds!). The rest of his game had no problems as he gained 6.5 shots from tee to green.
Before the memorial, Fitzpatrick had played excellent golf. In his last ten starts, the 27-year-old has achieved seven top 15 finishes. Also, Fitz missed a cut at the RBC Heritage last time out. The following week he finished second at Wells Fargo.
St. George’s should be a perfect match for Fitzpatrick.
Precision will be of paramount importance on this golf course, both off the tee and on the approach. The fairways are tree-lined and narrow, the type of setup Fitzpatrick has thrived on throughout his career. In his last 24 laps he has placed third in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee and has the perfect combination of distance and accuracy to handle this stretch much better.
It’s no secret that Fitzpatrick has had a tough time winning on the PGA TOUR. Maybe leaving the US for an event north of the border is just what he needs to get over the mountain.
Rory McIlroy – Top 10 (+120)
Landon Silinsky: McIlroy is the defending champion at this event, which was held at a different venue three years ago but is still notable. He finished the Memorial in a solid 18th place, losing shots with his irons on both Saturday and Sunday. Before that, the Irishman was in the loop, finishing second at Augusta, followed by a T5 and T8 at Wells Fargo and the PGA Championship.
McIlroy is the class in this field, ranking #1 on Strokes Gained: Ball-Striking and #2 on Strokes Gained: Total, both in his last 48 rounds. He wouldn’t come to Canada a week after beating Memorial at the US Open a week later unless he planned to give it his all.
Off the top of the board, this field is extremely mediocre. I think Rory could sleepwalk his way into the top 10 here, so I’ll happily take plus money.
Chris Kirk +5000
Derek Farnsworth: I was willing to text Patrick Reed on +6500 but that number is no longer available and neither is Reed. Instead, I turn to Chris Kirk.
We don’t consider Kirk an elite ball hitter, but he has won shots off the tee in 14 consecutive events. While he lost on the approach at Muirfield Village last week, he had won on the approach in each of his previous 10 starts.
On top of that he is one of the best on TOUR around the green. He’s been a top 10 machine this season and it would be a great story to see him back in the winners’ circle after everything he’s been through over the past few years.
I love the fit of the pitch, I love the way his game develops and I love the +5000 odds. Since we don’t have every option in the US, I back this bet with a top 5 on FanDuel at +950.
Matt Fitzpatrick – Top 20 (-115)
Bryan Berryman: From a tee-to-green view, Fitzpatrick came through as predicted at last week’s Memorial. He hit over 70% of his fairways and finished 7th in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the first two rounds.
Unfortunately, he combined his wonderful tee-to-green game with his worst putting performance of his entire career, dropping 7.5 shots on the greens en route to a missed cut.
This week, St. George’s is set up in a relatively similar fashion. Although not played as long as Muirfield Village, there are many reports that the course will be established as a “US Open prep course” since it has landed on the PGA TOUR schedule. That means fast greens and tight rough waiting for unpredictable shots, where accuracy from tee to green is paramount.
This is perfect preparation for Fitzpatrick, who ranks first in this field in bogey avoidance and has ranked in the top 30 in both Fairways Gained and Strokes Gained: Approach for the last 24 rounds. A solid and dependable player from tee to green, he has finished in the top 20 in seven of his ten starts this year. Assuming his putting performance last week was an anomaly, I love his chances of cracking the top 20 this week.